Alibaba: What The West Gets Wrong About China

China’s reopening surge collapsed at the end of January, and Chinese equities have slowly lost popularity, contradicting Wall Street analysts’ strong conviction calls at the beginning of 2023. In addition, analysts have cut their growth predictions due to weaker-than-expected economic data, the weakening yuan, the debt challenges in the real estate market, and concerns over deteriorating relations with Western nations have further dampened the Chinese equities outlook.

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The Emerging Market Crisis That Never Was

Emerging markets (EM) have been regarded as a high risk, and predominantly risk-on asset class, when the Covid crisis occurred in Q1, 2020[1]. Fears centred on the risks of deep contagion across the asset class, characteristic of previous crises in the late-1990s, and during the GFC, should cross-border capital flows collapse, after Lockdowns and extreme risk aversion.

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illustration of covid virus and recession line graph

Is a Recession Inevitable?

Economic reports and corporate data last week highlighted the cautious stance of corporations, contrasted against a resilient consumer, who continues to be propped up by strong demand in the labor market and

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