Tag: ETF economic and industrial analysis

Since countries around the world had to have dollars on hand in order to buy oil (and other key commodities such as gold, also priced in dollars), the greenback became the world’s reserve currency, a status formerly

I have followed the relationship between QQQ and DIA for some time, and I have found it to be one of the more insightful indicators I use. So, when I see that QQQ has outperformed DIA by nearly 19% over the past three months, I know something historic is taking place. This is very year 2000-like.We could be setting up for a continued period of significant return spread between these two major indexes. That should get investors’ attention.

The US economy is expected to enter the recession in Q2 2023.The S&P 500 is still overvalued, and earnings expectations don’t yet reflect an imminent recession. Thus, there is a considerable downside to SPY.

Software clearly will consolidate this year, in our view, with much moving into private equity where there is some $1 trillion in cash waiting to be deployed,” observed BlackRock . “In our view, Tesla is likely to deliver on

Figure 2 shows the average daily users of China’s most popular mobile job search applications (left chart) and the volume of online job postings (right chart). As the mobility of China’s residents continues to recover,

Investors have been pouring money into investment-grade corporate bonds, attracted by the fattest yields in a decade and the hopes of better total returns than those offered by stocks. Companies have been rushing

Earlier this month, at Exchange, Evan Harp sat down with New Frontier Advisors chief investment officer Robert Michaud to discuss portfolio construction, optimization, and more. So things like small-cap, or

Uruguay’s central bank stayed on hold yesterday, but noted that the policy rate path will depend on the normalization of inflation expectations. The market expectations for emerging markets (EM) do not look overly

“The apparent slowdown in [developed market] interest rate hiking and a more favorable outlook have allowed some [emerging markets] to go back to issue fresh debt in the market,” wrote IIF economist Jonathan

It doesn’t look like the market believes in longer-term high rates from the Fed. Following an expected 0.25% rate hike, Jerome Powell gave a standard speech that didn’t seem to shock market participants.

We think right now business travel is probably three fourths of the way back to where it was prepandemic, but that’s up from less than half of a recovery a year ago. There might be some displacement from video conferencing, but we think 2023 is a year that looks to see continuing

This follows the large runup in bond yields starting in early 2022, as markets began to price in expectations of fed-funds rate hikes. Altogether, while the Fed is projecting a year-end 2023 fed-funds rate

We think private markets – equity, debt, and secondaries – offer particularly abundant opportunities for those ready to step in with long-term capital. So, in our view, this is where steps one and two take us: a

“Despite the sharp decrease in gas use, we do not currently have a drastic drop in industrial and manufacturing production in Europe, mainly thanks to various energy efficiency operations, for example by changing