2026 Market Outlook: A Time For Caution Given Megacap Weighting

As 2026 approaches, cautious optimism prevails regarding modest economic growth and consumer credit stability. Analysts predict a potential S&P 500 earnings growth of 4%-4.5%. Concerns about AI sentiment, concentrated market dynamics, and the housing sector’s weak outlook indicate risks are skewed to the downside, leading to a projected S&P 500 target of 6,400.

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Nuclear Projects Don’t Have to Be Late and Over Budget

The UAE’s Barakah nuclear plant demonstrates successful project execution, overcoming delays and cost overruns seen in U.S. reactors. With rigorous planning, global collaboration, and substantial budgeting, the UAE filled its energy needs with zero-emission power, showcasing nuclear power’s potential to deliver long-term reliability despite challenges in development and high upfront costs.

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Why it’s time to look at China for AI investment, according to a head strategist at a $6.6 trillion wealth manager

Jason Draho from UBS Wealth Management highlights that Chinese tech stocks present an attractive investment opportunity due to their low correlation with US tech, providing diversification benefits. While they have lower valuations, they remain high relative to their history. Funds like CQQQ and CTEC show strong performance, outpacing the Nasdaq.

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Tesla’s China Collapse

Tesla Inc.’s market share in the U.S. has significantly declined from 80% to 45% amidst rising competition from legacy automakers. Its sales in China are decreasing, placing it seventh due to challenges like lack of new models and connectivity. The EV market faces uncertainty as tax incentives expire, affecting overall sales.

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No Signed Deal, But Trade Framework Finalized With China

Big Tech earnings show mixed results: Google’s growth contrasts with Meta’s tax charges and Microsoft’s capex increase causing a drop. The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points. Trump highlighted successful trade discussions with China, including reduced tariffs on farm products and agreements on energy purchases, anticipating future deals.

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