Macro Outlook Retakes Spotlight

Last week’s U.S. debt ceiling deal removes near-term uncertainty and thrusts the market’s focus back to the macro picture: sticky inflation due to tight labor markets. But we do think higher-for-longer interest rates will

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Alibaba: What The West Gets Wrong About China

China’s reopening surge collapsed at the end of January, and Chinese equities have slowly lost popularity, contradicting Wall Street analysts’ strong conviction calls at the beginning of 2023. In addition, analysts have cut their growth predictions due to weaker-than-expected economic data, the weakening yuan, the debt challenges in the real estate market, and concerns over deteriorating relations with Western nations have further dampened the Chinese equities outlook.

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The Emerging Market Crisis That Never Was

Emerging markets (EM) have been regarded as a high risk, and predominantly risk-on asset class, when the Covid crisis occurred in Q1, 2020[1]. Fears centred on the risks of deep contagion across the asset class, characteristic of previous crises in the late-1990s, and during the GFC, should cross-border capital flows collapse, after Lockdowns and extreme risk aversion.

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