依靠 DGIN ETF,无疑可以实现印度增长

在做空的 Hindenburg Research 发布了一份关于 Adani Group 的严厉报告后,印度股市最近受到挤压。Adani Group 是一家庞大的企业集团,由该国最富有的人之一高塔姆·阿达尼 (Gautam Adani) 控制。

依靠 DGIN 实现印度增长,避免争议

在兴登堡报告发布后,阿达尼的净资产大幅缩水,他也与印度政府的最高层有联系,包括总理纳伦德拉·莫迪 (Narendra Modi)。结合阿达尼集团由七个上市实体组成的观点,兴登堡报告给印度投资论点蒙上阴影也就不足为奇了。

尽管如此,可以通过多个在美国上市的交易所交易基金涉及该公司业务,包括VanEck Digital India ETF (DGIN)。事实上,DGIN 在 Adani Group 争议之后的印度投资对话中具有高度相关性,因为 VanEck ETF 是一种增长型资产,而 Adani 主要关注能源和基础设施。换句话说:阿达尼情景造成的印度股市疲软可能会为 DGIN 等 ETF 带来机会。

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“但基金经理并不认为这场危机会破坏印度这个世界第五大经济体的长期前景,印度越来越成为市场策略师和地缘政治分析师的宠儿。 ” 印度拥有年轻人口的长期经济前景,以及莫迪升级基础设施和吸引制造商重塑印度的努力,作为那些希望从中国转向多元化的国家的替代选择,仍然存在,” Barron’s 的 Reshma Kapadia 报道说

跟随 MVIS 数字印度指数的 DGIN 持有 35 只股票。由于专注于增长,它将 81% 以上的员工分配给技术和通信服务行业,这些行业被认为在某种程度上不受阿达尼影响的影响。此外,一些专家认为后果可能被夸大了。

“阿达尼家族拥有其公司大约 60% 的股份,限制了其他投资者的风险敞口。MSCI 近年来仅将该集团的部分上市公司纳入其指数,旗舰企业 Adani Enterprises于 2021 年加入,”巴伦周刊补充道。

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进一步支持 DGIN 的长期案例的是,印度各地的公司正在寻求以提高信用评级的名义更好地解决债务问题。与此相关的是,两个 Adani 实体最近宣布计划重播总计 16 亿美元的债务。

“在经历了多年的银行不得不从资产负债表中清理坏账后对贷款持谨慎态度之后,资金经理们看到印度信贷周期开始复苏。这应该有助于激发支撑增长的投资周期,”《巴伦周刊》总结道。